FiveThirtyEight: 11%(!) Chance of Obama Winning EV, Losing PV

cross-posted as a diary at Daily Kos

OK, I know in this post/diary I wrongly put the focus on the election results themselves rather than how we Obama supporters can improve his chances of winning in these last 49 days. But this is important …

Have any other regular readers of FiveThirtyEight.com (DK user poblano, aka Nate Silver) noticed the projected chance of Obama winning the electoral vote while losing the popular vote has shot dramatically upward in the past several days from three or four percent to 11.42%? That’s a pretty significant possibility in my opinion.

I suspect the Republicans have contingency plans in place for this scenario just like they did in 2000. That is, I suspect the GOP and their enablers in the media would try to influence public opinion in favor of overturning the Electoral College result. Remember their plans in 2000? You might not because, of course, it was not George Bush but Al Gore who won the popular vote — and then all hell (Florida) broke lose.